RE-thinking 2050. A 100 % renewable energy vision for the European Union.

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2010

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European Renewable Energy Council

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2010

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01 janvier 2010

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En savoir +

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7 Mo

Cette étude estime qu'en 2050, les pays de l'Union européenne pourraient produire 100 % de leur énergie (électricité, chauffage, transport) grâce à des sources renouvelables. Elle détaille les mesures qu'il serait nécessaire d'adopter pour atteindre cet objectif et montre les bénéfices économiques, sociaux et environnementaux qui pourraient ainsi être réalisés.
Bruxelles. http://temis.documentation.developpement-durable.gouv.fr/document.xsp?id=Temis-0067216

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Publié par

temis-developpement-durable

Publié le

01 janvier 2010

Nombre de lectures

Licence :

En savoir +

Langue

English

Poids de l'ouvrage

7 Mo

E U R o p E A n R E n E w A b

RE-thk

A 100% Reeae Eer Vs fr the Eurea U

l E E n E R g y c o U n c i l

Who is ErEc

EREc, the Eurea Reeae Eer cu, s the umrea rasat f the majr Eurea reeae eer dustr, trade ad researh assats atve  the ﬁed f htvtas, sma hdrer, sar therma, eer, ea & mare, etherma, d eer, ad sar therma eetrt. it reresets a dustr th a aua turver f mre tha €70  ad th mre tha 550,000 emees.

EREc shares ts fﬁes th ts memer assats  the Reeae Eer Huse  brusses, a mde shase fr terat f eer efﬁe ad reeae eer tehes  a hstr ud.

EREC’ members: AEBioM(Eurea bmass Assat) EGEc(Eurea getherma Eer cu) EPiA(Eurea phtvta idustr Assat) ErEF(Eurea Reeae Eeres Federat) EshA(Eurea Sma Hdrer Assat) EsTELA(Eurea Sar Therma Eetrt Assat) EsTiF(Eurea Sar Therma idustr Federat) EUBiA(Eurea bmass idustr Assat) EU-oEA(Eurea oea Eer Assat) EUrEc Ageny(Eurea Assat f Reeae Eer Researh cetres) EWEA Eer Assat)(Eurea w d

Contact details of EREC European Renewable Energy Council Renewable Energy House Rue d’Ar 63-67 - b-1040 brusses, beum T: +32 2 546 1933 - F: +32 2 546 1934 E: ere@ere.r - i: .ere.r

Text ad aass: prf. Arthurs Zervs, chrste ls ad Jshe Muth ctrutr: Eear Smth Des ad rdut: .mard.e pushed  Ar 2010

Table of Contents

Frerd 4 itrdut 6 01 7 ojetve 02 Reeae 9 Eer Sures ad Tehes 03 11 curret Status f Reeae Eer  the EU 04 15 Arah ad Deﬁt f geera ptetas 05 Assumts ad Sears overa 18 06 Reeae Eer Sures’ ctrut 22 t Fa Eer csumt 23Reeae Eetrt u t 2050 27Reeae Heat ad c u t 2050 Reeae Trasrt u t 2050 29 Reeae Eer u t 2050 32 07 Em, Evrmeta ad 34 Sa beeﬁts Em beeﬁts 35 Evrmeta beeﬁts 41 Sa beeﬁts 43 08 p 45 Remmedats 09 gssar 52 10 Referees 54 Aex: 57 EREc Memers´ Teh-seﬁ Vss u t 2050

Foreword

Eure’s urret eer sstem s frted th a umer f uertates: uredtae ad hh vate fss fue res ad the resut em haees, eta rsks reated t mrt deede, ad the harmfu evrmeta sequees f fss fue ased eer eerat. Hever, hat remas erta, s that f e tue  the eer atha f the ast fe deades, mate hae  have a mre ad mre uredtae ad dsastrus mat  ur ves, ur eer mrt deede  rse, ad fss fues  eme sarer ad etrated  a fe utres arud the rd.

ierta s t a sut  the fae f these haees. The aser t these haees s t ed ur reah, the sut,  fat, es  ur hads ad th t ur at t hae the future. b sth frm fss fue, reehuse as tesve sures f eer t reeae sures f eer, Eure s ae t fu ras ts sustaae teta -  em, e ad sa terms.

Sﬁat reas eer efﬁe ad de reeae eer tehes s the mst rms effrt e a make t mtate ma-made mate hae ad redue hazardus ut, ehae a ad rea eer deedee, stmuate rd-ass hh-teh dustres ad reate thusads f e js, t east  rura ad remte areas.

Tda’s eer dess  shae Eure’s su sstem fr at east the ext 50 ears, there determ the future eve f reehuse as emsss, fss fue deede ad the mettveess f Eurea emes. i ve f the fudameta trasfrmat eeded t esure a sustaae Eure  the mdde f the 21stetur, a fudameta strutura hae s eeded. As vestmets  the eer setr are f a -term ature, the dess e take tda  have a mat  the eer sstem f tmrr. Fr a these reass, Eure must reare the rud fr a 100% reeae eer future, start tda.RE-thinking 2050 a atha tards a utes 100% reeae eer su sstem  2050 ad ear shs that t s t a matter f teh, ut rather a matter f mak the rht hes tda t shae tmrr. The haee ahead f us s hue, ut e have  he f e at t at ress tards future eerats. “w e d t hert the Earth frm ur aestrs: e rr t frm ur hdre”.1

Prof. Arthouros Zervos presdet Eurea Reeae Eer cu (EREc)

1 natve Amera rver, ke ed  20thetur evrmetast Davd brer

The EREc rertRE-thinking 2050 sets ut a amtus vs fr a 100% reeae eer sstem fr the Eurea U. The rert rvdes a mrehesve estmate f the em, evrmeta, ad sa eeﬁts assated th suh a mve. it as artuar fuses  the  remmedats sdered eessar t take the -teha arrers t ahev suh a vs, tak a three f the mrtat setrs – eetrt, heat ad  ad trasrt. whe the vs ma ra e mre amtus tha the eve ke t e aheved  rate, e ver muh eme ths mrtat rk that thruh exres the ssues assated th a majr exas  the trut frm reeae eer.

i the iEA’s ve, the use f reeae eer must e reased  rder t mrve eer seurt ad redue mate hae. The iEA’s Eer Teh persetve uded a bue Sear, hh evsaes redu a co2 emsss  50% mared th 2005 eves  2050. whe med th dee uts  ther reehuse as emsss, ths sear s sstet th a temerature rse mted t 2-3°c. i ths sear reeae eer  e a ke trutr t co2aatemet, trut 21% f the requred reduts. Eetrt  e the mst mrtat setr, th the rrt frm reeaes rs frm the urret 18 t 46%. Se tta eetrt rdut dues dur ths erd, ths mes a fur-fd rease  reeae er rdut. curret a mre amtus reeaes sear s uder devemet,  hh 75% f a eetrt rdut mes frm reeae sures.

Reas these amtus as  e dfﬁut. Teha haees  eed t e verme. The tehes as eed t eme rressve mre st mettve. T esure are sae vestmet ad demet  the eetrt, heat ad  ad trasrt setrs, the requred  framerk eeds t e deveed ad memeted, ud arrate ﬁaa etves ad measures t take the ther  em arrers. Furthermre, the hsa frastruture  eed t e adated.

RE-thinking 2050makes a vauae trut t the reﬂets  the features f the  framerk hh  e eeded t meet a amtus reeae eer taret  the future.

Didier Houssin Dretr f Eer Markets ad Seurt Dretrate iterata Eer Ae (iEA)

Introduction

Eure’s demad fr eer s reas  a Eure shud ead the a th a ear mmtmet t evrmet f hh ad ustae eer res. a 100% reeae eer future  2050. Aases  greehuse as emsss are rs ad the eer the Eurea reeae eer dustr ad  ma setr s e f the ma emtters f reehuse ases. reed setﬁ sttuts sh that ths s t  natura reserves f fss fues suh as  ad as are teha fease, ut as the  tru sustaae etrated  just a fe suer utres arud ateratve th  em terms, ad  sa ad the rd. cmate hae a th a reas evrmeta terms.1 deede  eer mrts are  a fe f the rsks the Eurea em s fa tda. The eer The haees f trasfrm Eure’s eer sstem setr s the fue f Eure s em ee, hee rema uret ad daut: the EU urret mrts ´ hav the rht arah s mrtat. arx. 55% f ts eer2– ad mht reah 70%  the ext 20 t 30 ears.3 2030 the EU  e mrt i i rder t uterat these tedees ad esure 84% f ts as, 59% f ts a ad 94% f ts . i these a sustaae eer ad em future fr the rumstaes, t s vus that the haee t satsf Eurea U (EU), e eed t at   rder t ur eer eeds s . dever sustaae, seure ad mettve eer. The terreated haees f mate hae, seurt f Eure has t reak the e f reas eer eer su ad mettveess are mutfaeted sumt, reas mrts, ad reas utﬂ ad requre a rfud hae  the a Eure f eath reated  the EU t a eer rduers. At rdues, devers ad sumes eer. Haress 2008 eer res, ever EU tze s a arud the EU´s eer efﬁe teta ad fu de €700 er ear fr the extera tr f ther eer ts sustaae, deus reeae eer resures su.4b reas the share f reeae eer ad are therefre vta ad the  a t  frard. there dereas the eer mrt s, sﬁat savs a e made, hh a the e used fr ud Smutaeus mtat mate hae ad seur the reeae eer ased frastruture that Eure eer su  reeae eer sures sttutes eeds, t  st the EU’s deus eer a mrtat fatr fr md- t -term em su, ut as strethe the mettveess f rth. Fu ras ad ea the rth ur em as e as reat sustaae js ad rtutes f tmrr requres fster mre - sustaae em rth. hesve at frm EU es, dustr ad set. Reeae eer s a stmuus fr em rth.RE-thinking 2050 a atha tards a resets Mrever, a str emhass  “sustaae deve - 100% reeae eer sstem fr the EU, exam met” must e at the heart f a em, evr - the effets  Eure’s eer su sstem ad meta ad sa atvt.  co2 emsss, he at the same tme rtra the em, evrmeta ad sa eeﬁts f wth the areemet  2009  the Eer ad cmate suh a sstem. Mrever, the rert rvdes  pakae hh tas the Eurea Dretve  the remmedats fr hat s eeded t fu ext the rmt f the use f eer frm reeae sures EU’s vast reeae eer teta. th ts d taret f at east 20% reeae eer  ﬁa eer sumt  2020, the EU has made Revet the EU´s eer sstem  a sustaae a str ad amtus mmtmet tards reeae eer mde s e f the rta haees f the 21st eer. The dret Eure has started t take s the etur. Reeae eer a eme the ake rht e hever e eed t tue ad seed- f Eure’s eer ad em sstem th ths u the eeded trasfrmat f ur eer sstem etur. The haee ahead f us s a ermus thruh tuus ad stae mmtmets ad  e, ut tak t  e u a far reah sea f framerks, esea  ema hae tmes. rtutes.

1 chrsther Jes: “A zer ar eer  fr Eure: the  vae sut”, : EU Eer la, Vume iii, bk Three: The European Renewable Energy Yearbook. 2010. pae 51f. ad 81f.;Hume, M., neufedt, H., cer, H.:Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies: Supporting European climate policy. The ﬁnal report from the ADAM project.2009; EcF:Roadmap 2050: a practical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon Europe. Ar 2010; SRU:Setting the Course for a Sustainable Electricity System. Fu rert frthm oter 2010. 2 Eurea cmmss (Eurstat):Sustainable development in the European Union. 2009 monitoring report of the EU sustainable development strategy.2009. pae 83. 3 Eurea cmmss:A European Strategy for Sustainable, Competitive and Secure Energy. 2006. 4 Eurea cmmss(coM(2008) 781 ﬁa):Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. Second Strategic Ener gy Review. An EU Energy Security and Solidarity Action Plan. 2008.

01 Objective

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